生態農業：氣候變遷下森林碳匯與生態經濟評估【森林學系/柳婉郁特聘教授】
| 論文篇名 | 英文：Assessing Carbon Abatement Costs Considering Forest Carbon Sequestration and Carbon Offset Mechanism: Evidence from Taiwan 中文：考慮森林固碳和碳抵消機制評估碳減排成本：來自台灣的實證 |
| 期刊名稱 | FOREST SCIENCE |
| 發表年份,卷數,起迄頁數 | 2023 69(4): 382-396 |
| 作者 | Liu, Wan-Yu(柳婉郁); Lu, Yi-Hsin; Lin, Chun-Cheng* |
| DOI | 10.1093/forsci/fxad011 |
| 中文摘要 | 根據2050年的淨零排放目標，台灣很隨國際趨勢，未來可能會徵收碳稅和建立碳抵銷市場。碳稅和碳補償市場對經濟和環境的正面和負面影響值得進一步研究。據此，本研究採用碳減排成本預測模型來評估三種情境下的碳減排成本：（1）存在碳抵銷市場，森林碳匯可作為碳抵銷；（二）存在碳抵消市場，但森林固碳不能作為碳抵消；(3) 碳市場不存在。選擇台北（碳排放量低）和高雄（碳排放量高）作為研究地點，探討碳交易和森林碳的效益。結果顯示，情境1的CER成本最低，情境3的CER成本最高。高雄的CER成本高於台北。碳價越高，CER成本差異就越大。 |
| 英文摘要 | Based on the Greenhouse Gas Reduction and Management Act passed in 2015 and the carbon neutral target in 2050, Taiwan will most likely follow international trends by imposing carbon taxes and establishing carbon offset markets. The positive and negative effects of carbon taxes and carbon offset markets on the economy and the environment merit further investigation. Accordingly, this study adopted a carbon emission reduction (CER) cost prediction model to assess the carbon abatement costs under three scenarios: (1) a carbon offset market exists, and forest carbon sequestration can be used as carbon offsets; (2) a carbon offset market exists, but forest carbon sequestration cannot be used as carbon offsets; and (3) a carbon offset market does not exist. Forests in Taipei (with low carbon emissions) and Kaohsiung (with high carbon emissions) were selected as research sites to explore the benefits of carbon emissions trading and forest carbon sequestration. The results show that CER costs are the lowest in scenario 1 and are the highest in scenario 3. The CER costs of Kaohsiung are higher than those of Taipei. The higher the carbon price, the greater the difference in CER costs between the two cities. |
| 發表成果與本中心研究主題之相關性 | 此研究與永續農業中心研究主題之淨零碳排與農林碳匯密切相關。 |
