【學術亮點】Visitor Dynamics under Disturbance: Exploring the Interplay of Air Quality, Wildfires, and US National Park Visitation Patterns
Ecological Agriculture: Assessment of Forest Carbon Sink and Ecological Economy under Climate Change【 Department of Forestry / Liu, Wan-Yu / Distinguished Professor】
生態農業：氣候變遷下森林碳匯與生態經濟評估【森林學系/柳婉郁特聘教授】
| 論文篇名 | 英文：Visitor Dynamics under Disturbance: Exploring the Interplay of Air Quality, Wildfires, and US National Park Visitation Patterns 中文：受干擾下的遊客動態：探討空氣品質、野火和美國國家公園遊客模式的相互作用 |
| 期刊名稱 | Leisure Sciences |
| 發表年份, 卷數,起迄頁數 | 2025, 1–28 |
| 作者 | Yu, Hong-Wen; Liu, Wan-Yu(柳婉郁)* |
| DOI | 10.1080/01490400.2025.2468402 |
| 中文摘要 | 氣候變遷加劇了野火，嚴重影響了自然環境、空氣品質和戶外休閒活動。本研究採用縱橫資料模型，評估了美國西部17個國家公園野火對休閒需求的直接和間接影響，並以空氣品質作為中介因素。 1992年至2020年，野火導致遊客量年平均下降0.78%，遊客小時數下降0.60%，其中西南地區受影響最為嚴重；例如，在優勝美地國家公園野火頻傳的年份中，遊客量下降幅度高達10.54%。雖然空氣品質帶來的間接影響較不明顯，但其結果顯示遊客停留時數越久者對惡劣的空氣品質特別敏感。本研究結果凸顯在氣候變遷持續加劇野火風險的情況下制定應對野火直接和間接影響的策略的必要性。 |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change has intensified wildfires, significantly impacting natural environments, air quality, and outdoor recreation. This study employs a panel data model to assess both the direct and indirect effects of wildfires on recreational demand across 17 national parks in the western U.S., with air quality as a mediating factor. From 1992 to 2020, wildfires caused an average annual decline of 0.78% in visitation and 0.60% in visitor hour, with the west-south region experiencing the most substantial impacts. In Yosemite, for example, visitation dropped by up to 10.54% during extreme wildfire years. Although indirect impacts via air quality were less pronounced, visitor hour, which reflect the duration of stays, were particularly sensitive to poor air quality. These findings highlight the need for strategies addressing both direct and indirect wildfire impacts as climate change continues to increase wildfire risks. |
| 發表成果與本中心研究主題相關性 | 此研究與永續農業中心研究主題之淨零碳排與農林碳匯密切相關。 |
